Croatia

Croatia had a hard start, followed by a move towards heavy exchange rate management in a context of limited development of financial markets and institutions. which paved the way for eventual entry into the European Economic and Monetary Union.

Years Targets and attainment Classification
1992-93 new central bank and currency late 1991, attempt at money-based stabilisation derailed by lack of instruments and wider context of transition plus conflict, exchange rate depreciating fast, very high inflation unstructured discretion UD
1994-2019 new (and successful) stabilisation package late 1993; currency reform May 1994; monetary policy strategy initially based on announced base money targets (overshot), but soon becomes exchange rate-based and this focus continues throughout, in context of high (c.70%) loan and deposit euroization, particularly in later years: exchange rate is relatively stable with ‘quasi-peg’ to euro but wider fluctuations allowed than normal under a peg; monetary instruments limited: mainly forex purchases to affect liquidity and reserve requirements, also some sales of central bank bills (for liquidity management rather than interest rate setting) and occasional (not always effective) use of credit controls; macroprudential policies; from 2017 public debate followed by preparations for euro adoption loosely structured discretion LSD
2020-22 entry to ERM II (from already stable exchange rate with high euroisation) in mid-2020, plus moves towards EU banking supervision arrangements; large impact of and fiscal and monetary response to Covid-19 full exchange rate targeting FERT
2023 membership of European Economic and Monetary Union currency union CU

Selected IMF references: RED 1995 pp21-7; SISA 1999 pp46-8, 50; SISA 2002 chapter II; SISA 2004 chapter I; SR 2004 pp19-20; SR 2007 pp14-15; SR 2009 p12; SR 2010 pp7-9, 13-14; SR 2012, pp8-9; SR 2014 pp12, 13, 15; SR 2015 p13; SR 2016 pp11-12; SR 2017 pp14-16; SR 2019 pp17-20; SR 2021 pp12-17, 18-19, 20; SR 2023 pp4-5, 61-2.

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